Tag Archive for: permian

Ovintiv Inc., one of the leading oil driller companies in the shale drilling sector, has recently updated its production forecast for 2024, marking itself as the second oil and gas company to make such an adjustment this year. The firm now projects a production range of between 570,000 and 580,000 barrels of crude oil per day, a notable increase from its previous estimate, which ranged from 545,000 to 575,000 barrels. This revision, calculated from the midpoint of the newly established range, indicates a 2.7% increase in anticipated production levels. Furthermore, Ovintiv has also raised its target for the oil and condensate segment, adjusting it upward by approximately 1%, with a goal of reaching around 208,000 barrels per day. This strategic adjustment reflects the company’s confidence in its operational capabilities and the overall market conditions.

Ovintiv’s decision to enhance its production outlook follows a similar move by Matador Resources Co., highlighting a trend among U.S. drillers who are cautiously navigating the current energy landscape. While many companies are focusing on maintaining stable or modest growth in output, this shift in forecast underscores Ovintiv’s strategic emphasis on maximizing production efficiency while balancing capital allocation to shareholders. As the industry gradually transitions towards a more disciplined approach to growth, Ovintiv’s proactive stance may position it favorably for future opportunities, enabling the company to strengthen its drilling assets and enhance shareholder returns in a competitive market environment.

Oil Driller Performance

The performance of oil wells in the prominent Permian Basin, which extends across Texas and New Mexico, has consistently surpassed industry expectations, presenting a complex challenge for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies. These countries have been actively engaged in a strategic effort to gradually unwind coordinated production restrictions that were initially implemented to support and stabilize crude oil prices in response to volatile market conditions. However, the unexpected surge in output from the Permian Basin may complicate these efforts, as increased production can lead to an oversupply in the market, potentially undermining the pricing strategies that OPEC and its allied nations have meticulously crafted. This development raises questions about the sustainability of current pricing levels and may prompt OPEC to reconsider its production policies in light of the new dynamics introduced by the Permian’s robust performance.

Production Comprises Oil and Condensate

In the context of this evolving market landscape, Ovintiv, a prominent player in the region, has strategically positioned its production portfolio to capitalize on the diverse hydrocarbon resources available in the Permian Basin. Currently, approximately one-third of Ovintiv’s production comprises oil and condensate, while the remaining two-thirds consists of natural gas and natural gas liquids. This balanced approach not only allows the company to mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in oil prices but also aligns with the growing demand for natural gas as a cleaner energy alternative. By maintaining a diversified portfolio, Ovintiv is well-positioned to navigate the complexities of the current market environment, adapting to changes in consumer preferences and regulatory landscapes while contributing to the ongoing discourse around energy production and sustainability in the context of the larger global energy transition.

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Source: World Oil

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Canada’s Gibson Energy Inc. is betting that swelling oil output in the Permian Basin will fuel continued growth in US crude exports, boosting profit from a major Gulf Coast terminal it bought last year for about $1.1 billion.

The acquisition of the South Texas Gateway Terminal — which expanded Gibson beyond its core business of storing and processing Canadian crude in Alberta and Saskatchewan — is seen by analysts as a key earnings driver for the company. While Gibson has plans to generate more revenue from the terminal through physical improvements and enhanced contracts, the deal is also a macro bet on growing US oil exports.

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Source: Bloomberg

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As the shale industry matures, the biggest oil and gas producers, with their efficiencies and lower cost of capital, are moving in.

 

When extraction of oil and gas from shale deposits took off a dozen years ago. It sparked a revolution that enabled the U.S. to become a global mega-producer of fossil fuels due to technological breakthroughs in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling. Now, energy analysts say, the guard is changing as shale production matures and the capital requirements to maintain production intensify.

Changing of the guard in the Permian

Shale now accounts for 10% of worldwide crude oil and 32% of global natural gas that is currently recoverable, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. West Texas’s Permian Basin is the second largest oil field in the world, behind Saudi Arabia’s giant Ghawar field. That makes the Permian the dynamic center of oil and gas extraction in the U.S., and the place where this latest chapter of the energy saga is being written.

Sold Out To The Oil-And-Gas Majors

In a series of major deals last fall, some of the pioneers of shale production in the region sold out to the oil-and-gas majors, greatly consolidating the U.S. industry. Highlighting the trend were Exxon Mobil’s $60 billion purchase of Pioneer Natural Resources in October and Occidental Petroleum’s $10.8 billion deal to buy CrownRock in December. Oil and gas deals totaled more than $250 billion last year, the largest figure in nearly 10 years.

These deals are big, and expensive—Oxy is paying some $5 million per location for CrownRock’s assets, which Andrew Dittmar, a director at Enverus Intelligence Research, described a “nose-bleed territory”—but are unlikely to move the needle on global oil prices more than marginally. Their real importance, analysts say, is in what they signal about shale production in the Permian over the remainder of the decade.

 

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Source: Global Finance

 

 

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Mega Acquisition Deals

ExxonMobil and Chevron announced mega acquisition deals to buy U.S. firms, which will boost the footprint of the U.S. oil supermajors in their domestic upstream market. Betting on expectations of sustained global oil and gas demand and the lower costs of supply through synergies with the targeted acquired companies.

Exxon and Chevron are now looking to build stronger portfolios closer to home after divesting assets in Western Europe, West Africa, and Russia. Amid growing geopolitical uncertainties and flare-ups in other parts of the world, the U.S. supermajors are betting on higher domestic production and the huge reserves of Guyana

Basically in America’s backyard in Latin America—to strengthen their portfolios with more advantaged resources and raise returns to investors.

The End of an Era

The U.S. oil giants holding a variety of assets spread worldwide is over, analysts have told The Wall Street Journal.

This month, Exxon announced a deal to buy Pioneer Natural Resources in an all-stock transaction valued at $59.5 billion. The implied total enterprise value of the transaction, including net debt, is around $64.5 billion.

Two weeks later, Chevron said it would buy Hess Corporation in an all-stock transaction valued at $53 billion with a total enterprise value, including debt.

The deals, Exxon, which has pulled out of Russia, Cameroon, and Chad in recent years, will become the Permian’s top producer. Chevron, for its part, will add assets offshore Guyana and in the U.S. Bakken shale play, after ditching assets in the UK and Norway in recent years.

Chevron will Become Exxon’s Partner

By buying Hess, Chevron will become Exxon’s partner in Guyana’s vast discovered resources under development. Chevron will get 30% ownership in more than 11 billion barrels of oil equivalent discovered recoverable resource with high cash margins per barrel, strong production growth outlook, and potential exploration upside, the company said.

Guyana is more politically stable than other parts of the world and closer to the United States—efficient for crude exports to America.

Being Disrupted By Geopolitical Turmoil

In a sign of operations being disrupted by geopolitical turmoil, weeks before the announced acquisition of Hess, Chevron was ordered by Israel to shut down production at the offshore Tamar gas field following the Hamas attack.

The Hess deal will also give Chevron 465,000 net acres of high-quality, long-duration inventory in the Bakken supported by the integrated assets of Hess Midstream, complementary U.S. Gulf of Mexico assets, and steady free cash flow from its Southeast Asia natural gas business.

In the Bakken, Hess Corp’s net production was 190,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the third quarter of 2023, compared with 166,000 boepd in the prior-year quarter, reflecting increased drilling and completion activity and higher NGL and natural gas volumes received under the percentage of proceeds contracts due to lower commodity prices.

In the Permian, Exxon will become the biggest producer after the Pioneer deal.

Upstream Portfolio

The combination with Pioneer “transforms ExxonMobil’s upstream portfolio by increasing lower-cost-of-supply production, as well as short-cycle capital flexibility,” Exxon said when announcing the deal.

The company expects a cost of supply of less than $35 per barrel from Pioneer’s assets.

“By 2027, short-cycle barrels will comprise more than 40% of the total upstream volumes, positioning the company to more quickly respond to demand changes and increase capture of price and volume upside.”

 

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Source: Oil Price

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