Oil Price Expections | Will Rise to $100 per Barrel by Late 2023

Experts’ oil price expectations are that it could rise to $100 per barrel by the fourth quarter.

The price per barrel currently sits at $74.

The demand for oil is high right now and more production is needed to meet it. This is according to Judy Stark, the president of Panhandle Producers and Royalty Owners Association.

“There’s a lot of factors involved in that and the majority of it is what’s taking place in the world,” Stark said.

The $100 prediction is based on a variety of factors. Stark says global events, like China’s reopening after COVID and the war in Ukraine affect the price, as well as a global reduction in production and the Biden administration’s deterrence in production.

Mostly, it comes down to supply and demand, said Michael Lozano, government affairs and communications at the Permian Basin Petroleum Association.

“[It’s] not terribly surprising. We’ve seen declining inventories of crude in production in other places around the world,” Lozano said. “And [when] we have higher demand and less supply of anything, you’re gonna see prices rise.”

The price increase has benefits and costs. More production could mean more jobs in the Permian Basin. Since oil is a product of gas production, prices at the pump could rise.

“For as much as operators produce oil and gas in the Permian Basin, we’re also customers of the product we produce as well,” Lozano said. “So this does create some of those challenges when it comes to price.”

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