The benchmark of current US oil prices, WTI Crude, hit its highest level since November 2014 early on Tuesday. This is after OPEC+ on Monday called off its third attempt to reach an agreement. Discussed is over oil policy management for the coming months.
In Asian trade earlier in the day, WTI Crude touched $76.50 a barrel, narrowing the WTI/Brent Crude spread significantly.
There has been intense talks late last week and attempts at mediation during the weekend. The standoff between the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia over the Emirati baseline production level has no resolution.
Then, OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said in a concise statement on Monday that the OPEC+ meeting was called off. The date of the next meeting has not been decided yet.
The oil market immediately jumped on the news. As participants weighed the notion that no deal about how to proceed with oil supply management. It would mean no additional supply from the OPEC+ alliance for August. This is at a time when global oil demand is bouncing back with summer travel and re-opening of economies.
Insights of Analysts
Most analysts expect oil prices to continue rising until OPEC+ meets again, which, according to reports and analyst estimates, could come at some point over the next one to three weeks. There is already talk about whether this will lead to another break-up in the OPEC+ union, after the collapse in March last year. Currently, a complete collapse of the deal is more of a fringe scenario of extremes, rather than a distinct possibility.
“The fallout within OPEC+ means increased uncertainty in the months ahead if a quick resolution is not found, which suggests increased volatility in prices,” said Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Strategy at ING.
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Source: Oil Price
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