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Oil prices rice

Oil prices rise as inflation eases, bolstering market hopes for Fed rate cut later this year

KEY POINTS
-Crude oil futures climbed on Thursday, getting a lift from cooling inflation data.
-The consumer price index fell 0.1% in June from the prior month, bringing the 12-month rate to 3%.
-The inflation data bolstered hopes for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in September. Lower rates stimulate economic growth, which can boost demand for oil.

Crude oil futures rose Thursday as inflation eased, bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year.

Inflation as measured by the consumer price index dropped 0.1% from May to June, putting the 12-month rate at 3%, near the lowest level in more than three years, according to the U.S. Department of Labor.

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Source: CNBC

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supply concerns

Supply concerns and demand optimism are boosting oil prices

Oil prices surged this week as hurricane season began, demand improved, and both U.S. crude and gasoline inventories fell. This triggers supply concerns. Rising geopolitical risk around the world only added to bullish sentiment.

Friday, June 21, 2024

The onset of hurricane season in the US is improving demand figures. It is corroborated by shrinking crude and product inventories. It is becoming more visible Chinese buying have come together to lift oil prices to their highest since early May. The market was also reminded of the dysfunctional Red Sea navigation with the Houthis sinking another bulker this week, adding upward pressure to oil prices.

Chevron-Hess Merger Stalled by Arbitrage Delays.

Three months have passed since the case for a contract arbitration panel on Chevron’s planned takeover of Hess’ Guyana assets was filed. Still, there is no final arbitrator selected, delaying the $53 billion merger.

Alberto Becomes the New Scare for the Gulf. 

A storm system has made landfall in Mexico’s northeast regions. It is becoming the first named tropical storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with Tropical Storm Alberto bringing heavy rains that disrupted lightering operations in Corpus Christi and Beaumont.

Here Comes the New PE-Backed Gas Giant.

US private equity giant Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:CG) will form a new Mediterranean-focused oil and gas company after purchasing Energean’s (LON:ENOG) assets in Italy, Croatia, and Egypt for $945 million, naming former BP boss Tony Hayward as its new CEO.

Europe Approves 14th Russia Sanctions Package.

The European Union approved a 14th package of sanctions against Russia that bans re-exports of Russian LNG in the EU, however steering clear of banning LNG imports per se, whilst also blocking any financing for Russia’s planned Arctic and Baltic LNG terminals.

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Source: Oil Price

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Oil prices found support after U.S. commercial crude stockpiles declined by 1.4 million barrels in the first week of May.

US crude oil recovers losses after surprise stockpile decline

Crude oil futures rose Wednesday, recovering losses from earlier in the session as U.S. crude inventories fell.

Oil prices found support after U.S. commercial crude stockpiles declined by 1.4 million barrels in the first week of May, according to official data from the Energy Information Administration. The decline was a surprise compared to industry data that indicated a 509,000 barrel buildup.

Prices have come under pressure as of late on rising inventories with U.S. stockpiles surging in the last week of April.

“Oil market indicators have turned softer in recent weeks, and prices have declined from recent peaks,” Morgan Stanley analysts said in a research note. “The oil market is not tight now, but we see seasonal strength ahead in coming months.”

Here are Wednesday’s closing energy prices:

  • West Texas Intermediate – June contract: $78.99 a barrel, up 61 cents, or 0.78%. Year to date, U.S. crude oil has risen 10%.
  • Brent July contract: $83.58 a barrel, up 42 cents, or 0.51%. Year to date, the global benchmark has risen 8.5%.
  • RBOB Gasoline – June contract: $2.53 per gallon, down 0.46%. Year to date, gasoline futures are up about 20%.
  • Natural Gas-  June contract: $2.19 per thousand cubic feet, down 0.91%. Year to date, gas is down 13%.

Oil prices have fallen more than 7% since reaching their April highs when traders bid up prices on fears that Iran and Israel would go to war. Investors have largely sold off the war premium since then, with Morgan Stanley removing $4 per barrel of risk from its oil price forecast for the year.

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Source: CNBC

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Oil prices have bounced back after the last OPEC+ announcement sent them crashing, and the US Federal Reserve could send them higher still with optimistic messaging.

Oil Prices Climb as Sentiment Continues to Improve

Oil markets were eagerly anticipating the start of peak driving season in the summer. On the other hand, gasoline demand so far has been mostly disappointing. This is with US consumption some 2% lower year-over-year. So will oil prices climb continue?

– Asia has been the first continent where gasoline weakness led to refinery run cuts. This is a glut of light distillate supply has pushed Singapore gasoline cracks below the $5 per barrel mark.

– US gasoline cracks are notably higher than elsewhere. Currently, it is around $22 per barrel. The high US refinery utilization rates create a lot of downside for gasoline, especially as gasoline stocks are the highest since 2021 for this time of the year.

– The pressure on gasoline might increase further down the line as this year’s two main refinery newbuilds, Nigeria’s Dangote and Mexico’s Olmeca, are both delayed and will not start up in time for the summer season.

Market Movers Due to Oil Prices Climb

– US refiner Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) agreed to sell its 25% stake in the Rockies Express Pipeline for some $1.28 billion including debt to privately owned Tallgrass Energy which owns the remaining 75% stake.

– Commodity trading giant Trafigura has agreed to pay a $55 million fine to settle charges of fraud and manipulation from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, having traded misappropriated Mexican gasoline.

– French oil major TotalEnergies (NYSE:TTE) sold its Brunei upstream business to Malaysian exploration firm Hibiscus Petroleum for $260 million, using those funds for further Namibia drilling.

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Source: Oil Price

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Oil prices found support after U.S. commercial crude stockpiles declined by 1.4 million barrels in the first week of May.

US crude oil recovers losses after surprise stockpile decline

Crude oil futures rose Wednesday, recovering losses from earlier in the session as U.S. crude inventories fell.

Oil prices found support after U.S. commercial crude stockpiles declined by 1.4 million barrels in the first week of May, according to official data from the Energy Information Administration. The decline was a surprise compared to industry data that indicated a 509,000 barrel buildup.

Prices have come under pressure as of late on rising inventories with U.S. stockpiles surging in the last week of April.

“Oil market indicators have turned softer in recent weeks, and prices have declined from recent peaks,” Morgan Stanley analysts said in a research note. “The oil market is not tight now, but we see seasonal strength ahead in coming months.”

Here are Wednesday’s closing energy prices:

  • West Texas Intermediate – June contract: $78.99 a barrel, up 61 cents, or 0.78%. Year to date, U.S. crude oil has risen 10%.
  • Brent July contract: $83.58 a barrel, up 42 cents, or 0.51%. Year to date, the global benchmark has risen 8.5%.
  • RBOB Gasoline – June contract: $2.53 per gallon, down 0.46%. Year to date, gasoline futures are up about 20%.
  • Natural Gas-  June contract: $2.19 per thousand cubic feet, down 0.91%. Year to date, gas is down 13%.

Oil prices have fallen more than 7% since reaching their April highs when traders bid up prices on fears that Iran and Israel would go to war. Investors have largely sold off the war premium since then, with Morgan Stanley removing $4 per barrel of risk from its oil price forecast for the year.

Click here to read the full article
Source: CNBC

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Mr. Paul believes that without future exploration, we will continue to tap into proven reserves, causing oil prices to increase.

Oil and gas politics signal market growth acccording to industry insider Jeremy A. Paul

Oil and Gas Politics signal market growth. Crude oil, often referred to as petroleum, is a liquid fossil fuel distinct from its refined counterpart, gasoline. Similarly, natural gas, colloquially known as ‘gas,’ is more precisely point out as fossil gas or methane. Despite their colloquial names, oil and gas are classified as fossil fuels, originating deep underground over millions of years from the fossilized remains of ancient organisms, including plants and animals. Furthermore, these energy resources share a common hydrocarbon composition, characterized by molecules comprising carbon and hydrogen atoms. This chemical congruence underscores their classification as hydrocarbons and shows the interrelated nature of these pivotal energy commodities.

The United States has been one of the world’s energy giants since its first oil well was inculate in Pennsylvania in 1859. Oil production peaked in the 1970s, then waned for decades, and saw a resurgence through the fracking boom that started in the early 2000s. The United States has begun to reclaim its position as the world’s largest oil and gas producer. It is estimated that the US now produces 90% of its own natural gas supply and 75% of the crude oil it needs domestically. In 2021, it produced around eleven million barrels of crude oil and one hundred billion cubic feet of gas daily.

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Source: USA Today

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Oil prices have moved higher following news that producer BP will temporarily halt shipments through the Red Sea after reported attacks on vessels delivering on this route.

Oil price rises as shipments through Red Sea are halted

Oil price rises (CL=F, BZ=F) have moved higher following news that producer BP (BP) will temporarily halt shipments through the Red Sea. After reported attacks on vessels delivering on this route. Analysts estimate 12-15% of the global oil supply moves through this passage from the Middle East. Meaning any prolonged closure could impact availability in relevant markets.

Yahoo Finance Ines Ferré breaks down the details and what these pressures will mean for oil and natural gas prices (NG=F).

And what we’ve seen today is a bump for WTI for crude oil. Let’s take a look at the chart so you can see where we’re at. With WTI and crude both jumping more than 2% during today’s session. This is after British oil giant, BP, said that it was pausing ship shipments via the Red Sea. After Houthi rebels were attacking ships. This was a precautionary pause.

Several shipping companies have been pausing their shipments, including Evergreen, that’s a global container shipping company. Now, the Red Sea, that’s connected to the Mediterranean Sea by the Suez Canal. Anywhere between 12 and 15% of oil is move via the Suez Canal, so it is a very important area that’s connecting– that is a shipping route connecting Europe to Asia.

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Source: yahoo!finance

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ExxonMobil (XOM 0.31%) earned an impressive $9.1 billion in the third quarter. Meanwhile, cash flow was even higher at $16 billion.

ExxonMobil is cashing in on higher crude oil prices

ExxonMobil (XOM 0.31%) earned an impressive $9.1 billion in the third quarter. That was up from $7.9 billion in the second quarter as the company feasted on higher oil prices. Meanwhile, cash flow was even higher at $16 billion, a whopping $6.6 billion increase from the last quarter. 

As strong as the third quarter was, even better days could be ahead for the oil giant. Here’s a closer look at the quarter and what’s in store for ExxonMobil investors.

ExxonMobil expected that higher oil prices would boost its upstream earnings by more than $1 billion in the third quarter, which is what happened:

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Source: The Motley Fool

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